(New York) The day after the Nov. 8 polls, the surprise result: Americans have already decided that Donald Trump should be elected president.
Posted at 5:00 am.
Six years later, midterm elections will pave the way for a new presidential campaign for the former Republican president and, if predictions of a red tide come true, could raise questions about the political credibility of his Democratic successor, Joe Biden.
If the candidates refuse to accept defeat, as Donald Trump has already done, they can also become chaotic. However, according to the census The Washington PostNearly 300 of the competing Republican candidates have denied or questioned the outcome of the 2020 presidential election.
So the future of American democracy is being played out on Tuesday, a refrain sung by many in the audience. Remarkable fact: Majorities of Democratic and Republican voters agree that this democracy is indeed at risk, according to a recently released poll. The New York Times. But, they claim that the reason for that is the opponents.
It’s news that Joe Biden and Donald Trump have each carried on their own in the final days of the campaign.
“If you say, ‘The only fair election is for me to win,’ you can’t say you’re a Democrat or support Democratic principles,” the Democratic Party leader said Monday evening as he wrapped up his campaign in Maryland.
The Republican frontrunner, whose last election rally was held in Ohio, responded: “Every free and loving American must understand that now is the time to stand up against the growing tyranny of the left. »
It was said on Monday that he will announce his candidacy for the 2024 presidential election in this meeting. It was not fulfilled.
“I’m going to make a very big announcement at Mar-a-Lago on Tuesday, November 15th,” Donald Trump said at the end of his speech on the river. “We don’t want to take away the importance of tomorrow. »
Register to vote early
Midterm elections cover 435 seats in the House of Representatives, 35 of the 100 seats in the Senate, and several other positions such as governor, attorney general, and secretary of state.
More than 43 million voters have already cast their ballots early, a record. Another record: $16.7 billion was spent by candidates, parties and independent groups, unheard of during a non-presidential campaign.
After a long and tumultuous campaign where issues favorable to Republicans—the economy, inflation and crime—relegated Democrats’ favorite issues—abortion and democracy—to the background, Donald Trump’s party is sure to change the political game in Washington.
Republicans need a net gain of just five seats to secure a majority in the House.
However, forecasters are now predicting harvests in 20 locations and more, some of them in blue states like California, Oregon, Rhode Island and New York.
In the middle of the campaign, the odds of a Republican taking the Senate also increased. A net gain of one seat would allow the Grand Old Party to control the congressional agenda in Joe Biden’s last two years.
Trump supporters
Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada are holding tight senatorial elections.
In three of those states, Donald Trump has chosen or endorsed neophyte candidates — Herschel Walker in Georgia, Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania and Blake Masters in Arizona — whose results will weigh on his own political future. If Republicans let opportunities to seize control of the Senate slip away, he will be blamed in good part. On the other hand, he can show if the opposite situation occurs.
Many elections for governor or secretary of state draw attention because of the role the winners will play in certifying the outcome of the 2024 presidential election. A number of key states, including Arizona, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Michigan, are running for these positions.
The recent outings of Joe Biden and Donald Trump illustrate the strengths and weaknesses of both sides.
Photo by Susan Walsh, Associated Press
President Joe Biden was photographed with Wes Moore, the Democratic candidate for governor of Maryland, at a rally in the same state on Monday evening.
The Democratic leader campaigned alongside state Gov. Kathy Hochul in New York’s northern suburbs on Sunday, facing a tougher-than-expected race against Republican Rep. Lee Seldin. In the 2018 midterm elections, voters in American suburbs, especially white women, played a decisive role in the victory of the Democrats. This year, many of them seem inclined to switch to the Republican Party, especially as crime continues to rise in major American cities.
For his part, Donald Trump was in Miami, long considered a Democratic stronghold. Still, like many American cities from Las Vegas to Phoenix to Philadelphia, Republicans are hoping to make continued gains among the city’s Hispanic voters.
In the long run, this trend is more troubling for Democrats than shifting suburban voters.
And yet: an electoral verdict that would allow Republicans to pick up about twenty seats in the House and two or three in the Senate would be no exception. Instead, it will be ordinary.
Because voters are used to punishing the president’s party during the midterm elections that follow his arrival in the White House. What’s more, in Barack Obama and Donald Trump, to name two presidents, opposition parties won 40+ seats in the House of Representatives in their first or only midterm elections.
Indeed, Democrats can congratulate themselves for limiting the damage. That would be no small feat, especially if they retain control of the Senate.
But the Republican duopoly in Congress could have unprecedented and unpredictable consequences, especially in the certification of the 2024 presidential election.
Such a result would underscore Democrats’ growing doubts about the advisability of a final presidential campaign for Joe Biden. Both Bill Clinton and Barack Obama have almost certainly won re-election after suffering historic setbacks in their first midterm elections.
But they had not reached the age of 50 when they started their second term. Joe Biden is celebrating his 80th birthdaye Birthday on November 20.
