December 26, 2024

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Stocks were little changed as traders weigh recession risks

Stocks were little changed as traders weigh recession risks

We expect a recession next year to help reduce inflation, says Elise Osinbaugh of JPMorgan

Stocks moved between gains and losses on Wednesday as traders weighed the possibility of a recession, and the possibility of a longer-than-expected walking cycle from the Federal Reserve.

The S&P 500 traded slightly lower, down for the fifth day in a row. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was last trading up 61 points, or 0.18%, while the Nasdaq Composite was down 0.7%.

Wall Street is emerging from another tough session, with the Dow Jones down more than 350 points, or 1.03%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite lost 1.4% and 2%, respectively.

Investors were losing hope that the Fed would be able to engineer a so-called soft landing that successfully mitigate inflation through higher rates and also avoid a recession. Instead, concerns revolve around the state of the economy and the possibility of a recession in 2023.

“All in all, financial indicators point to a looming recession,” Azhar Iqbal of Wells Fargo wrote in a note to clients on Wednesday. “The S&P 500 has peaked before recessions with an average lead time of four months over the past few business cycles. Given the inverted yield curve, it is clear that markets are preparing for a recession in 2023.”

Investors are waiting for more economic data this week to get clues about what to expect from the Federal Reserve.

Stocks are heading for weekly losses, with the Dow down 2.6%. The S&P and Nasdaq fell 3.5% and 4.5%, respectively.