Omigron may increase covit-19 exposure to more than 12,000 per day nationwide Corona virus

The PHAC estimates that the number of Govt-19 cases could have quadrupled to 12,000 a day in early January if Omigron were present. Successfully settled in Canada. Although long-term forecasts are still uncertain, the PHAC warns that this number could reach 26,000 by mid-January.

If the Omicron variant changes the Delta variant in the coming weeks, a renaissance is expected in Canada. In blue, if the transfer volumes increase by 15%; In orange, if the current transfer conditions are maintained and the omigron is primary; In black, if current transfer conditions are maintained; In purple, if the transfer volumes are reduced by 15%.

Photo: Public Health Institute of Canada

There are currently 3,300 new infections diagnosed each day in Canada. At the height of the epidemic last winter, less than 9,000 cases a day were recorded in Canada.

For now, deaths and hospital admissions are relatively low, but with more than 10,000 cases a day, the company warns that Canada’s health care system could be overburdened this winter.

⁇ Before we reach a better spring, we are still on a rough track this winter. ⁇

As of December 9, 87 confirmed Omicron cases have been reported in seven provinces or territories in Canada. To date, all of these cases have been asymptomatic or mild.

He points out that many countries around the world are beginning to see a rapid rise in new epidemics.

Available in over 60 countries Omicron found the difference Authorities are also closely monitoring the situation in hospitals to see if this variant causes more severe symptoms than the delta variant.

Although there is still considerable uncertainty about the possibilities of omigran variation in avoiding immunity and increasing the severity of symptoms, the rapid recovery of patients may put a strain on our still weakened health system.Canada’s Chief Public Health Officer Dr. Theresa Tom said.

Dr. Tom called on Canadians not to panic, but to be very careful considering the uncertainty surrounding the Omigron variant.

Despite the lack of influence of the Omicron variant, PHAC modeling suggests that Canada may face another big wave in the new year.

If the current prevalence level is maintained, cases in Canada are expected to double to 6,000 to 7,000 cases a day in January. If contacts increase by 15%, this new wave will reach 12,000 cases a day.

Quebec could easily reach 3,000 cases by January; Ontario could reach 2,000 cases a day.

Provincial wise predictions. In blue, if the transfer volumes increase by 15%; In orange, if the current transfer conditions are maintained and the omigron is primary; In black, if current transfer conditions are maintained; In purple, if the transfer volumes are reduced by 15%.

Photo: Public Health Institute of Canada

Already, signs are pointing to a new upsurge, and the holiday season could have a major impact on the intensity of this next wave, the agency says.

⁇ We urge everyone to cooperate so as not to close schools this winter ⁇

The spread rate (Rt) in Canada over the past five weeks has been higher than 1, indicating an increase in epidemics, especially in Quebec and Ontario. Quebec currently has more than 12,000 active cases or almost 40% of cases in the country.

The PHAC reminded that the best way to reduce the spread of the virus is to vaccinate as many Canadians as possible.

As we have seen in Germany, the easing of public health measures in the absence of greater vaccine protection will lead to a strong renaissance and a major impact on the health system., Says Dr. Tom.

Among young people and adults between the ages of 12 and 59, those who are not vaccinated are 32 times more likely to be hospitalized with COVID-19 than those who are fully vaccinated; In people 60 years of age and older who have not been vaccinated, the risk is 16 times higher.

Small meetings are desirable

Dr. Tom also suggested that Canadians should prioritize small gatherings during the holidays. The warning is always in order, She warns. I don’t think meetings of 20 or 25 people should be held. Provinces such as Ontario and Quebec You may have to adjust their recommendations for the holidays.

PHAC Deputy Chief Executive Dr. Howard Naju said he was in touch with his colleagues in the two provinces and that the authorities there were ready. Have flexibility And Modify, modify as needed. For his part, Dr. Naju made it clear that he was targeting a rally As a family, 10 people or something like that.

Dr. Tom recalled that wearing a properly fitted mask and improving the ventilation of the closed area (e.g. opening the window or door regularly) are two simple ways to protect themselves from the virus. He advises people to avoid traveling outside the country, noting that at any time, the situation here and elsewhere may change.