August 15, 2022

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Ukraine: Westerners are increasingly determined against Moscow

With their support for Ukraine increasingly unrestricted, Westerners have made clear their desire to see Moscow dust off from this week.

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“We want to see Russia weakened to the point where it can no longer do things like invade Ukraine,” Pentagon chief Lloyd Austin said Monday. Could not be clearer.

Washington then joined forty countries, including all NATO, in organizing large-scale support for Ukraine in Rammstein, Germany, on Tuesday.

On Wednesday, the head of British diplomacy, Liz Truss, called for the “doubling of support” by providing “heavy weapons, tanks, planes” and wanted to push “Russia out of Ukraine,” including into Crimea. Since 2014.

AFP Emilia Robin, a historian who specializes in the Cold War at the Pantheon-Sorbonne University in Paris, said it was necessary to “return to the Euromysil crisis of the late 1970s” to find such tension in the announcements. . “We called it the New War because it came after a recession and then subsided [Mikhaïl] Gorbachev [à la tête de l’URSS] And resumption of talks. “

AFP Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier of the Franco-Belgian company Thomas Morin analyzed that “firm unity now exists”.

“The United States is leading a new alliance where they are always providing 70% of the guidance,” said Michael Goya, a researcher and former official on Twitter. Not on ground troops as in Afghanistan or Iraq, but by military means. “With the only limitation of open war,” Mr. Goya underlines.

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Westerners have fallen into “the second phase of the war,” says Florent Parmentier, author of the Sciences-Bo in Paris. “There is a form of change, we are talking more and more about promoting Ukraine on the path to success,” he said, now that the country has so far demonstrated its ability to resist.

“Westerners are part of the prospect of a protracted war,” said Mary Dumoulin, director of the European Council for Diplomatic and Foreign Relations (ECFR) broad Europe program, and told AFP. ”In their active.

Mr. For Mongrenians, this change also comes from the evolution of fear of Russian motives. Europe seems to understand that the future of the continent (…) will be at stake in the face of Russia’s geopolitical agenda to “negotiate a new Yalta” to reclaim “post-Soviet countries”.

Faced with this rapid shift, Russia is responding on the military base to communicate, warehousing, but semantically, to limit the effectiveness of Western support.

The threat of a “third world war” for Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, the threat of a “quick and lightning” response in the event of Vladimir Putin’s interference, or even the Kremlin’s comments, “arms supply” threatens European security.

Russia “considers it very simple that from the moment of the most important arms supplies, the distinction between militant and non-combatants will become more and better,” the judge said. Formentier.

“If Russia considers tomorrow that NATO is a co-militant country or that one of the countries is doing a lot in arms distribution, it is not surprising to see military attacks closer and closer to the borders to cross this line. We need to recognize a certain kind of transparency in the news and Russian leaders,” he says.

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Also, the Russian firing on the bridge over the Dniester faade, through which aid came from Romania, was part of this structure. According to French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian, Russia’s announcements are a “threat.” He reiterates that France is “not at war with Russia.”

Mr. According to Mongranians, a possible conflict should not “take back responsibility” because Vladimir Putin’s Russia is engaged in a “reverse march” and has resumed the war against Ukraine to use its geopolitical fantasies on the ground. On a larger scale, it actually threatens all balances in Europe.

But Marco Carnelos, a former Italian diplomat in the MCGeopolicy cabinet, said: “Some Western leaders, especially American and British, are moving towards war like sleepwalkers. In the same situation as in the summer of 1914, I see a gradual increase, ending with the First World War. We have the same dynamics, a lot of misinterpretations, misunderstandings on both sides.