Although nearly a dozen named storms have appeared in the eastern Pacific Ocean this season, the Atlantic basin has been relatively quiet.
It has only seen three named storms so far, none in August. Such peace is a historical exception which has not happened for 25 years.
But it is too early to declare the situation a success. Currently, NOAA is tracking an area of low pressure that could become a named storm by the end of the week. It has a 50% chance of forming before the end of the month.
Tropical activity in September
However, September can present a completely different scenario. Forecasters are closely monitoring tropical activity in the Atlantic basin, and some areas are showing favorable conditions for the coming week.
The waters between the Cape Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles have a 40% chance of developing tropical storms.
The waves may get stronger as you approach the area. Even without tropical development, this system could affect the Windward Islands. This will bring heavy rain and strong currents by the end of the week. These include the islands of Saint John, Antigua, Barbuda and Anguilla.
An unusual situation
Only two other seasons since records began in 1960 had an August without a tropical storm or hurricane in the Atlantic Ocean: 1961 and 1997. Neither observed a tropical cyclone in August.
Remember that we are currently in the peak of hurricane season, which is usually between August and mid-October.
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